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Atmospheric Change

Future Climate

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Science FAQ

 

Please see EPA's Climate Change site for current information on climate change and global warming. EPA no longer updates EPA's Global Warming Site, but is maintaining this archive for historical purposes. Thank you for visiting the archive of EPA's Global Warming Site.

Future Climate

 
The continued addition of greenhouse gases to the atmosphere is likely to raise the earth’s average temperature by several degrees in the next century, which will in turn raise the level of the sea. Most of the United States is expected to warm, although sulfates may limit warming in some areas. Scientists currently are unable to determine which parts of the United States will become wetter or drier, but there is likely to be an overall trend toward increased precipitation and evaporation, more intense rainstorms, and drier soils.

Global Temperature
Since 1979, scientists have generally agreed that a doubling of atmospheric carbon dioxide increases the earth’s average surface temperature by 1.5-4.5°C (3-8°F). More recent studies have suggested that the warming is likely to occur more rapidly over land than the open seas.

Sea Level
The warmer temperatures are expected to raise sea level by expanding ocean water, melting mountain glaciers, and melting parts of the Greenland Ice Sheet.

U.S. Climate
Scientists generally agree on the likely rise in the average global temperatures over the next century. Unfortunately, projecting the change in particular regions is more difficult. Nevertheless, there is a general consensus that temperatures will warm throughout the United States.

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Associated Pages
Global Temperature
Sea Level
US Climate

See Also

IPCC Third Assessment Report: The Scientific Basis - Summary for Policymakers (323 KB)

National Academy of Sciences - Climate Change Science: An Analysis of Some Key Questions(305 KB)

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Exit EPA

 


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